MarkovLab is a probabilistic analytics platform for self-directed options traders. Classify market conditions, compare strategies against your own rules, and track your positions against pre-defined roll, hedge, and exit thresholds you configure.
Beta access by invitation only — Google sign-ups require admin approval.
[MarkovLab LLC of State of [ XX ] ] ("MarkovLab") does not provide investment, tax, or legal advice. Tickers and symbols referenced throughout the platform are used for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. MarkovLab's website, software, and any associated services are not intended for persons in any jurisdiction where MarkovLab is not authorized to do business, or where the analytics, tools, or other services offered by MarkovLab would be contrary to the securities regulations, derivatives regulations, or other local laws and regulations of that jurisdiction — including, without limitation, the United Kingdom (Financial Conduct Authority), Hong Kong (Securities and Futures Commission), and Portugal (Comissão do Mercado de Valores Mobiliários). Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors, as the special risks inherent to options trading may expose investors to potentially significant losses. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before trading options.
Secure broker integrations
Connect a brokerage for live data, real option chains, and one-click order initiation. MarkovLab never executes, clears, or custodies anything — your broker does. You confirm every order.
What's new
Daily HMM regimes persisted and rendered as coloured bands on every price chart. The last band always agrees with Smart Mode + Position Intelligence — verifiable, not vibes.
Walks the live option chain to find strike combinations that meet your minimum P(non-touch) — put-side and call-side. Set your safety floor (70 / 75 / 80 / 85%) per ticker.
Tradier or Alpaca, paper or live. Encrypted keys, live chains, and one-click order initiation behind your own broker — you confirm every order, your broker executes.
The problem
Traders spend 90% of their time on entry decisions and almost none on position management. Entries are structured. Everything after is improvised.
P&L colour drives decisions instead of probability. Green means hold. Red means panic. Neither is a framework.
Regime changes mid-trade and no one notices until the damage is done. The strategy that made sense at entry no longer fits the market.
How it works
The Scanner classifies regime for every ticker on your watchlist. TickerWorkbench ranks all strategies by regime suitability and validates each against 24 months of backtest data. See which setups meet your criteria before you decide.
The Reliability Lab tracks every open position against its entry regime. See regime drift, health scores, and exit signals in real time. Know when conditions have changed before your P&L tells you.
Rules-based exit and roll alerts track the pre-defined thresholds you configure. Get notified when your regime-flip, sojourn/probability, or drawdown-floor thresholds are met — you decide what to do next.
Capabilities
Regime classification across your full watchlist. Four states: Bullish Trend, Volatile, Quiet Range, Bearish. Strategy ranking per ticker, updated in real time, based on objective regime-fit criteria.
Deep single-ticker analysis. Strategy ranking by regime fit, backtest win rate, and skew. DTE timeline with earnings and expiry markers. Pre-market gap stress before the open.
A 4-state Hidden Markov Model trained per ticker, backfilled daily, and overlaid as coloured bands on every price chart. Sojourn, transition risk, and entropy exposed alongside the label.
Walks the live option chain step by step to find the strikes that meet your minimum P(non-touch) for BPS, CSP, short put, covered call, BCS, and short call.
Position lifecycle monitoring. PARS health score, regime drift detection, and status classification — Stable, Watch, High Risk — for every open trade. Roll alerts included.
Portfolio-level drawdown analytics. Define your NLV floor. See max drawdown exposure by position. Regime-aware hedge candidates identified by objective, rules-based criteria that adapt to current market conditions.
Historical backtesting for every strategy. Review win rate, average return, and max drawdown under similar historical regime conditions. Backtested results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future performance.
Connect Tradier or Alpaca — paper or live. Encrypted keys at rest. Batched quotes for the scanner, real chains with greeks for the Workbench, and one-click order initiation you confirm — your broker executes.
Rules-based alerts and (with your explicit confirmation) order-ticket routing to your broker. Exits, rolls, and hedges are flagged when your own regime, sojourn, and probability thresholds are met — every order still requires your confirmation at your broker.
Pricing
Every new account starts with a 7-day Demo of the full MarkovLab tier. No credit card. Upgrade to MarkovLab to keep going, or join the Pro waitlist for the labs still in the pipeline.
Full-access trial to MarkovLab. Everything unlocks for 7 days.
The core platform. Regime-first options intelligence.
Billed monthly via Stripe.
Live data + advanced labs. Join the waitlist — priority access at launch.
Sign in required to reserve your spot.
Who it's for
If you sell premium, run spreads, or manage a wheel — you already think in probabilities. MarkovLab gives you the infrastructure to act on that thinking across the full trade lifecycle. From regime-aware entry to rules-based exit. One platform. No improvisation.