About

A probabilistic decision platform for options traders.

MarkovLab classifies market conditions into four hidden regimes, ranks every options strategy against the current regime, and tracks each open position against its entry conditions — so the trade you opened with one set of beliefs doesn't keep running on a different one.

The math

Four regimes. One Hidden Markov Model. Daily-persisted history.

Hidden Markov Engine

A 4-state Gaussian HMM trained on 2 years of returns, realised vol, momentum, RSI, ATR and ATM IV — classified into Quiet Range, Bullish Trend, Bearish Trend, and Volatile. Each regime carries its own ideal-state map for every strategy in the platform.

Persistent Regime History

Every trading day's regime is persisted in MongoDB and overlaid as coloured bands on the price chart. Past regime, current regime, sojourn, and transition risk — visible at a glance, queryable for backtests.

Wheel-Safe Strike Finder

Walks the live option chain to find strike combinations that meet your minimum P(non-touch). Works on both put-side (CSP / BPS / short put) and call-side (CC / BCS / short call) plays.

Position Intelligence

Tickers are scored in two modes. New Entry — rank every strategy by regime fit and backtest history. Portfolio — adapt the ranking to your actual position, surface income, protection, and exit actions.

What's new

Beyond Yahoo. Beyond entry. Beyond intuition.

Live broker data

Connect Tradier or Alpaca for live quotes, real option chains with greeks, and a one-click deep-link into your broker's order ticket. API keys are encrypted at rest with Fernet.

Free & Pro tiers

Free gets the full regime engine, Position Intelligence, and TickerWorkbench. Pro unlocks Wheel-Safe Strikes, the Scanner's wheel candidates, the Hedging Lab's SORM sweep, and broker linking — billed monthly via Stripe.

Regime overlay on every chart

A persistent HMM band runs along the top of every price chart. The last band always matches the Smart Mode & Position Intelligence reading — no more "why does the pill say one thing and the chart show another?"

Who it's for

Built for traders who manage positions, not just open them.

If you sell premium, run spreads, or manage a wheel — you already think in probabilities. MarkovLab gives you the infrastructure to act on that thinking across the full trade lifecycle.